Showing posts with label rigorous evaluations. Show all posts
Showing posts with label rigorous evaluations. Show all posts

Tuesday, February 23, 2010

Stimulating Innovation and Evidence

After a massive infusion of stimulus money into K-12 technology through the Title IID “Enhancing Education Through Technology” (EETT) grants, known also as “ed-tech” grants, the administration is planning to cut funding for the program in future budgets.

Well, they’re not exactly “cutting” funding for technology, but consolidating the dedicated technology funding stream into a larger enterprise, awkwardly named the “Effective Teaching and Learning for a Complete Education” program. For advocates of educational technology, here’s why this may not be so much a blow as a challenge and an opportunity.

Consider the approach stated at the White House “fact sheet”:

“The Department of Education funds dozens of programs that narrowly limit what states, districts, and schools can do with funds. Some of these programs have little evidence of success, while others are demonstrably failing to improve student achievement. The President’s Budget eliminates six discretionary programs and consolidates 38 K-12 programs into 11 new programs that emphasize using competition to allocate funds, giving communities more choices around activities, and using rigorous evidence to fund what works...Finally, the Budget dedicates funds for the rigorous evaluation of education programs so that we can scale up what works and eliminate what does not.”

From this, technology advocates might worry that policy is being guided by the findings of “no discernable impact” from a number of federally funded technology evaluations (including the evaluation mandated by the EETT legislation itself).

But this is not the case. The White House declares, “The President strongly believes that technology, when used creatively and effectively, can transform education and training in the same way that it has transformed the private sector.”

The administration is not moving away from the use of computers, electronic whiteboards, data systems, Internet connections, web resources, instructional software, and so on in education. Rather, the intention is that these tools are integrated, where appropriate and effective, into all of the other programs.

This does put technology funding on a very different footing. It is no longer in its own category. Where school administrators are considering funding from the “Effective Teaching and Learning for a Complete Education” program, they may place a technology option up against an approach to lower class size, a professional development program, or other innovations that may integrate technologies as a small piece of an overall intervention. Districts would no longer write proposals to EETT to obtain financial support to invest in technology solutions. Technology vendors will increasingly be competing for the attention of school district decision-makers on the basis of the comparative effectiveness of their solution—not just in comparison to other technologies but in comparison to other innovative solutions. The administration has clearly signaled that innovative and effective technologies will be looked upon favorably. It has also signaled that effectiveness is the key criterion.

As an Empirical Education team prepares for a visit to Washington DC for the conference of the Consortium for School Networking and the Software and Information Industry Association’s EdTech Government Forum, (we are active members in both organizations), we have to consider our message to the education technology vendors and school system technology advocates. (Coincidentally, we will also be presenting research at the annual conference of the Society for Research on Educational Effectiveness, also held in DC that week). As a research company we are constrained from taking an advocacy role—in principle we have to maintain that the effectiveness of any intervention is an empirical issue. But we do see the infusion of short term stimulus funding into educational technology through the EETT program as an opportunity for schools and publishers. Working jointly to gather the evidence from the technologies put in place this year and next will put schools and publishers in a strong position to advocate for continued investment in the technologies that prove effective.

While it may have seemed so in 1993 when the U.S. Department of Education’s Office of Educational Technology was first established, technology can no longer be considered inherently innovative. The proposed federal budget is asking educators and developers to innovate to find effective technology applications. The stimulus package is giving the short term impetus to get the evidence in place. — DN

Tuesday, June 9, 2009

It’s Not the Money, It’s What You Spend It On

Our neighbor from the Hoover Institution, Eric (Rick) Hanushek, who also currently chairs the National Education Sciences Board, has just published a very interesting book (with co-author Alfred Lindseth) on the financing of schools1. It provides a very readable narrative of the last couple of decades’ court decisions about how much money it should take to provide an equitable and adequate K-12 education. The authors’ basic thesis is that the amounts of money schools spend are generally unrelated to increases in achievement, unless one considers what the money is spent on. Clearly, if spending was focused on policies and programs that lead to achievement gains and to decreases in the achievement gaps between populations, things would improve. But court-ordered increases in education spending have seldom used credible estimates of likely impact of various programs, even though the programs' costs were used in calculating how much an equitable or adequate education will cost. The authors document in fascinating detail the irrationality of the process of producing these cost estimates.

Hanushek and Lindseth propose that, where administrators and teachers are accountable and rewarded for results, they will consider the trade-offs in efficiency of spending money one way or another. For example, smaller class size may lead to better results but, if the same money were spent to increase teacher quality, the results may be much more substantial. This proposal, of course, depends on there being sufficient evidence that various programs, policies, or approach have a measurable impact. And they further acknowledge that getting this information is not a matter of running one-time experimental evaluations. The wide variation of populations, resources, and standards in US school systems means that a large number of smaller scale evaluations are called for. If states and school districts were to get into the habit of routinely pilot testing programs locally (and collecting and analyzing the data systematically) before scaling up within the district or state, the gains in efficiency could be substantial.

Hanushek and Lindseth do not address the question of how local evaluations of sufficient quality and quantity can be paid for. If one depends solely on the Institute of Education Sciences for grants and contracts, the process will be slow and the resources inadequate. Setting aside a certain percentage of federal grants to states and districts for evaluations is often unproductive because the evaluations are not designed or timed to provide feedback for continuous improvement. Too often, educators and administrators treat the evaluation as a requirement that takes money from the program. We have argued elsewhere that integrating research into program implementation at the local level calls for building local school district capacity for rigorous evaluations. It also calls for a reform agenda that changes how decisions are connected both to explorations of district data and to locally generated evidence as to whether programs and policies are having the desired impact. This is different from contracting with the evaluator once program is under way because the plan for the evaluation is part of the plan for implementation. Directing a good portion of the program funds to a process of continuous improvement will make the program more efficient and provide educators with the hundreds of studies that will begin to accumulate the kind of evidence that they need to make a rational choice about what programs are worth trying out in their own locale.

Educators, especially those who spend their days engaged with children in a classroom, may find the rational economic model on which the authors’ proposals are based unsatisfying and perhaps simplistic. Most people don’t go into education because they are maximizing their economic return. Nonetheless, it is hard to find a rationale for retaining teachers who are demonstrably ineffective beyond the traditional practice of union solidarity that militates against differentiation of skills among its members. The authors' arguments are thought provoking in that they demonstrate in rich narrative detail the obvious irrationality of considering only the amount of money put into schools and not considering the effectiveness of the programs, policies, and approaches that the money is spent on. —DN

1 Hanushek, E.A. & Lindseth, A.A. (2009). Schoolhouses, courthouses and statehouses: Solving the funding-achievement puzzle in America’s schools. Princeton NJ: Princeton University Press.

Wednesday, May 14, 2008

What Makes Randomization Hard to Do?

The question came up at the recent workshop held in Washington DC for school district researchers to learn more about rigorous program evaluation: “Why is the strongest research design often the hardest to make happen?” There are very good theoretical reasons to use randomized control when trying to evaluate whether a school district’s instructional or professional development program works. What we want to know is whether involving students and teachers in some program will result in outcomes that are better than if those same students and teachers were not involved in the program. The workshop presenter, Mark Lipsey of Vanderbilt University, pointed out that if we had a time machine we could observe how well the students and teachers achieved with the program, then go back in time, don’t give them the program — thus creating the science fiction alternate universe — and watch how they did without the program. We can’t do that, so the next best thing is to find a group that is just like the one with the program and see how they do. By choosing who gets a program and who doesn’t get it from a pool of volunteer teachers (or schools) using a coin toss (or another random method), we can be sure that self selection had nothing to do with group assignment and that, at least on average, the only difference between members of the two groups is that one group won the coin toss and the other didn’t. Most other methods introduce potential bias that can change the results.

Randomized control can work where the district is doing a small pilot and has only enough materials for some of the teachers, where resources call for a phased implementation starting with a small number of schools, or where slots in a program are going to be allocated by lottery anyway. To many people, the coin toss (or other lottery method) just doesn’t seem right. Any number of other criteria could be suggested as a better rationale for assigning the program: some students are needier, some teachers may be better able to take advantage of it, and so on. But the whole point is to avoid exactly those kinds of criteria and make the choice entirely random. The coin toss itself highlights the decision process, creating a concern that it will be hard to justify, for example, to a parent who wants to know why his kid’s school didn’t get the program.

Our own experience with random assignment has not been so negative. Most districts will agree to it, although some do refuse on principle. When we begin working with the teachers face–to–face, there is usually camaraderie about tossing the coin, especially when it is between two teachers paired up because of their similarity on characteristics they themselves identify as important (we’ve also found this pairing method helps give us more precise estimates of the impact). The main problem we find with randomization, if it is being used as part of a district’s own local program evaluation, is the pre–planning that is required. Typically, decisions as to which schools get the program first or which teachers will be selected to pilot the program are made before consideration is given to doing a rigorous evaluation. In most cases, the program is already in motion or the pilot is coming to a conclusion before the evaluation is designed. At that point in the process, the best method will be to find a comparison group from among the teachers or schools that were not chosen or did not volunteer for the program (or to look outside the district for comparison cases). The prior choices introduce selection bias that we can attempt to compensate for statistically; still, we can never be sure our adjustments eliminate the bias. In other words, in our experience the primary reason that randomization is harder than weaker methods is that it requires that the evaluation design and the program implementation plan are coordinated from the start. —DN